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RoyalFlush
01-29-2015, 03:21 AM
We'll likely have 3 kinds of new charts available soon:

1. Mistakes by Volume

2. Mistakes by Ratio

3. Mistakes by Cost per Occurrence

The difference between chart #1 and chart #2 is best explained with examples. The key is that some hands come up more often than others in the charts. Let's take a hand like 11 vs T. This hand occurs much more often than a hand like 88 vs A. Why is this? Let's take a look at each:

The ways in which 11 vs T can be dealt:
9, 2 vs K
9, 2 vs Q
9, 2 vs J
9, 2 vs T
8, 3 vs K
8, 3 vs Q
8, 3 vs J
8, 3 vs T
7, 4 vs K
7, 4 vs Q
7, 4 vs J
7, 4 vs T
6, 5 vs K
6, 5 vs Q
6, 5 vs J
6, 5 vs T

The ways in which 88 vs A can be dealt:
8, 8 vs A where the dealer's other card is not T, J, Q, or K

As you can see, 11 vs T will happen more often than 88 vs A. Suppose people make the wrong decision on 11 vs T 25% of the time but they make the wrong decision on 88 vs A 50% of the time. Chart #1 will show 11 vs T as being the bigger problem but chart #2 will show 88 vs A as being the bigger problem.

As for chart #3, it shows the cost of the mistake per our simulation results in which one decision is made 50,000 times vs another decision 50,000 times.