RoyalFlush
01-29-2015, 03:21 AM
We'll likely have 3 kinds of new charts available soon:
1. Mistakes by Volume
2. Mistakes by Ratio
3. Mistakes by Cost per Occurrence
The difference between chart #1 and chart #2 is best explained with examples. The key is that some hands come up more often than others in the charts. Let's take a hand like 11 vs T. This hand occurs much more often than a hand like 88 vs A. Why is this? Let's take a look at each:
The ways in which 11 vs T can be dealt:
9, 2 vs K
9, 2 vs Q
9, 2 vs J
9, 2 vs T
8, 3 vs K
8, 3 vs Q
8, 3 vs J
8, 3 vs T
7, 4 vs K
7, 4 vs Q
7, 4 vs J
7, 4 vs T
6, 5 vs K
6, 5 vs Q
6, 5 vs J
6, 5 vs T
The ways in which 88 vs A can be dealt:
8, 8 vs A where the dealer's other card is not T, J, Q, or K
As you can see, 11 vs T will happen more often than 88 vs A. Suppose people make the wrong decision on 11 vs T 25% of the time but they make the wrong decision on 88 vs A 50% of the time. Chart #1 will show 11 vs T as being the bigger problem but chart #2 will show 88 vs A as being the bigger problem.
As for chart #3, it shows the cost of the mistake per our simulation results in which one decision is made 50,000 times vs another decision 50,000 times.
1. Mistakes by Volume
2. Mistakes by Ratio
3. Mistakes by Cost per Occurrence
The difference between chart #1 and chart #2 is best explained with examples. The key is that some hands come up more often than others in the charts. Let's take a hand like 11 vs T. This hand occurs much more often than a hand like 88 vs A. Why is this? Let's take a look at each:
The ways in which 11 vs T can be dealt:
9, 2 vs K
9, 2 vs Q
9, 2 vs J
9, 2 vs T
8, 3 vs K
8, 3 vs Q
8, 3 vs J
8, 3 vs T
7, 4 vs K
7, 4 vs Q
7, 4 vs J
7, 4 vs T
6, 5 vs K
6, 5 vs Q
6, 5 vs J
6, 5 vs T
The ways in which 88 vs A can be dealt:
8, 8 vs A where the dealer's other card is not T, J, Q, or K
As you can see, 11 vs T will happen more often than 88 vs A. Suppose people make the wrong decision on 11 vs T 25% of the time but they make the wrong decision on 88 vs A 50% of the time. Chart #1 will show 11 vs T as being the bigger problem but chart #2 will show 88 vs A as being the bigger problem.
As for chart #3, it shows the cost of the mistake per our simulation results in which one decision is made 50,000 times vs another decision 50,000 times.